
Volume
$104K
Txns
938
Traders
131
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 3, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, or Google Gemini are not the iOS app ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps" by the specified date, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | -401.67 | $0.4 | |
| 4mo | 0x44ca...46907c | Yes / 99.9¢ | -401.67 | $401 | |
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | -399.99 | $0.4 | |
| 4mo | evieandlewis | Yes / 99.9¢ | -399.99 | $400 | |
| 4mo | chaosj88 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -820.00 | $819 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2,006.50 | $2K | |
| 4mo | N0mad7 | No / 0.1¢ | +186.50 | $0.19 | |
| 4mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | chaosj88 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +800.00 | $799 | |
| 4mo | N0mad7 | No / 0.1¢ | +800.00 | $0.8 | |
| 4mo | N0mad7 | No / 0.1¢ | +13.50 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | -13.50 | $0.01 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.2¢ | +10.44 | $0.02 | |
| 4mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +810.44 | $810 | |
| 4mo | 15Mins | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 4mo | YJQEatSmoke | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 4mo | wendypeekaboo | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | +1.00 | $0 | |
| 4mo | 0x5449...46992b | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 4mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | +75.20 | $75.1 | |
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | +75.20 | $0.08 | |
| 4mo | OraculumNobius | Yes / 99.9¢ | +902.90 | $902 | |
| 4mo | 7... | No / 0.1¢ | +902.90 | $0.9 |
1–25
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1520 by December…
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1500 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1490 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1470 by December…
Yes 100%$0volume