
Volume
$29K
Txns
386
Traders
90
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
President Joe Biden’s farewell address is scheduled to take place on January 15, 2025, 8:00 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Biden says "malarkey" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "malarkey" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to foolish talk or nonsense. If the event is cancelled or delayed beyond January 19, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source will be the video of the speech, however the official transcript will be used to settle cases of ambiguity.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | Emptiness. | No / 99.9¢ | -70.38 | $70.3 | |
| 1y | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | +70.38 | $70.3 | |
| 1y | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | +3.25 | $3.25 | |
| 1y | b777 | No / 99.9¢ | -3.25 | $3.25 | |
| 1y | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | +1,377.50 | $1.38K | |
| 1y | Kyrva | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,455.31 | $3 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | No / 99.2¢ | +77.81 | $77.2 | |
| 1y | dududududu | No / 99.9¢ | -622.50 | $622 | |
| 1y | JJo | No / 99.9¢ | +622.50 | $622 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 98.0¢ | -178.00 | $174 | |
| 1y | edgyyy | Yes / 2.0¢ | +37.00 | $0.74 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 98.5¢ | +459.94 | $453 | |
| 1y | B0nzie | Yes / 1.0¢ | +244.94 | $2.45 | |
| 1y | HardlyDifficult | No / 99.0¢ | +5.05 | $5 | |
| 1y | B0nzie | Yes / 1.0¢ | +5.05 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | No / 98.0¢ | -10.20 | $10 | |
| 1y | HardlyDifficult | No / 98.0¢ | +10.20 | $10 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 5.0¢ | +22.00 | $1.1 | |
| 1y | smoltrader | Yes / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | pkz | No / 95.0¢ | +242.00 | $230 | |
| 1y | TimeTraveler | Yes / 5.0¢ | +200.00 | $10 | |
| 1y | pkz | No / 93.0¢ | +140.00 | $130 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 7.0¢ | +140.00 | $9.8 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | Yes / 7.0¢ | +100.00 | $7 |
1–25
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Berhanu Nega be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 99%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume