Volume
$18K
Txns
102
Traders
15
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 3, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump performs worse in the Arkansas Republican primary compared to all other states participating in the 2024 Super Tuesday Republican Primaries. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Trump's worst performance will be considered as either the smallest margin of victory if Trump wins all super Tuesday primaries, or largest margin of defeat if Trump loses one or more primaries. ‘Margin' is defined as the difference between the percentages of votes received by Donald J. Trump and the second-highest vote-getter. Percentages of the votes received by each of the two candidates will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each receives by the sum of all votes received by both candidates in the election. The states participating in the Super Tuesday Republican Primaries are: Alabama, Alaska, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia excluding American Samoa. The resolution source for this market will be the announcement of the primary results from the participating state Republican parties. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 2y | Apsalar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 2y | Anon | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,000.00 | $4 | |
| 2y | truthteller | Yes / 0.1¢ | -195.95 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +195.95 | $0.2 | |
| 2y | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | -488.20 | $0.49 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +488.20 | $0.49 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | sharingan-kakashi | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5,998.22 | $6 | |
| 2y | ASOFE | Yes / 0.1¢ | -5,998.22 | $6 | |
| 2y | lently(10) | Yes / 0.1¢ | -140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +140.00 | $0.14 | |
| 2y | sharingan-kakashi | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +15.02 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | sharingan-kakashi | No / 99.9¢ | +15.02 | $15 | |
| 2y | VibesGreaterRules | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.83 | $0.05 | |
| 2y | WordleAddict | Yes / 0.1¢ | -505.00 | $0.51 | |
| 2y | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | +458.17 | $0.46 | |
| 2y | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.02 | $0.02 | |
| 2y | sharingan-kakashi | No / 99.9¢ | +20.02 | $20 | |
| 2y | debased | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.01 | $0.01 | |
| 2y | sharingan-kakashi | No / 99.9¢ | +10.01 | $10 | |
| 2y | PabloB | Yes / 0.2¢ | -2,989.97 | $5.98 |
1–25
Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024?
No 100%$0volume
Will Carl Sherman win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary?
No 100%$0volume
Will Jasmine Crockett and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Sen…
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Will Isaiah Bond get drafted?
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Will Colorado have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesday…
No 100%$0volume
Will California have highest margin of victory for Trump in Super Tuesda…
No 100%$0volume