
Volume
$129K
Txns
5,602
Traders
611
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 5, 2024
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Arizona has the smallest margin of victory between the first and second place candidates of any state in the 2024 U.S. Presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of resolving this market, the 'margin of victory' is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of votes received by the first place candidate and the second-place candidate. Percentages of the votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all votes cast in this state for the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. The respective percentages of the vote won will be determined based on the official vote count once each listed state has certified their votes. If there is a recount in any listed state before certification, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is certified. If a recount occurs after certification, the recount will not be considered.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 77%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 76%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | SDP.JDC | Yes / 0.1¢ | -0.33 | $0 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -0.33 | $0.33 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -1.30 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | Taxiic | No / 99.9¢ | +1.30 | $1.3 | |
| 1y | MikaL-437 | No / 99.7¢ | -14.98 | $14.9 | |
| 1y | VvVv | Yes / 0.3¢ | -14.98 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | tianzhen257 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.36 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -1.36 | $1.36 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -8.01 | $8 | |
| 1y | BPW | No / 99.9¢ | +8.01 | $8 | |
| 1y | Dzikens | No / 99.9¢ | +8.01 | $8 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -8.01 | $8 | |
| 1y | Uimean | No / 99.9¢ | +1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 1y | AlagnaCandida | No / 99.6¢ | +5.12 | $5.1 | |
| 1y | a912 | No / 99.6¢ | -5.12 | $5.1 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -5.12 | $5.11 | |
| 1y | a912 | No / 99.9¢ | +5.12 | $5.11 | |
| 1y | napad | No / 99.9¢ | +3.16 | $3.16 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -3.16 | $3.16 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -15.02 | $15 | |
| 1y | Krzyj | No / 99.9¢ | +15.02 | $15 | |
| 1y | kamilek | No / 99.9¢ | +8.50 | $8.49 | |
| 1y | StingerT | No / 99.9¢ | -8.50 | $8.49 | |
| 1y | AlagnaCandida | No / 99.6¢ | +12.01 | $12 |
1–25