Will APB Súmate win the most seats in the next Bolivia Senate election?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Bolivia on 17 August 2025. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Senate of Bolivia. If voting in the next Bolivia Senate election does not occur by January 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).