Will anyone achieve an ARC-AGI score of 85% or higher at any cost per task?

The winners of the ARC Prize 2025 are scheduled to be publicly announced on December 5, 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 85% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 with the specified cost per task (CPT) by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by the ARC Prize will qualify. If ARC Prize does not publicly the relevant data by December 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).