
Volume
$13K
Txns
177
Traders
39
Fees
$2
Liquidity
$35
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Basilomo | Yes / 22.3¢ | -1.88 | $0.42 | |
| 2d | 48xsds | Yes / 23.0¢ | +1.88 | $0.43 | |
| 3d | dodgerlive | No / 44.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.25 | |
| 3d | foobar1 | Yes / 56.0¢ | +5.00 | $2.8 | |
| 3d | S888 | Yes / 45.0¢ | +7.28 | $3.35 | |
| 3d | 48xsds | Yes / 45.0¢ | -7.28 | $3.28 | |
| 3d | 55sfds | No / 56.0¢ | -9.80 | $5.49 | |
| 3d | RustyScissors | No / 57.0¢ | -26.92 | $15.3 | |
| 3d | 48xsds | Yes / 44.0¢ | +7.48 | $3.29 | |
| 3d | meowtai | Yes / 42.4¢ | -44.20 | $18.7 | |
| 3d | SaucePolly1 | Yes / 40.0¢ | -5.00 | $2 | |
| 3d | 55sfds | No / 59.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.95 | |
| 3d | RustyScissors | No / 26.0¢ | +26.92 | $7 | |
| 3d | AJSV | No / 27.0¢ | +50.00 | $13.5 | |
| 3d | cqk | No / 26.1¢ | -91.92 | $24 | |
| 3d | 55sfds | No / 28.0¢ | +15.00 | $4.2 | |
| 5d | AJSV | Yes / 16.0¢ | +32.94 | $5.27 | |
| 5d | meowtai | Yes / 15.0¢ | -60.87 | $9.14 | |
| 5d | cqk | No / 85.0¢ | -27.93 | $23.7 | |
| 21d | Nuages | Yes / 18.4¢ | -12.51 | $2.3 | |
| 21d | AJSV | Yes / 19.0¢ | +12.51 | $2.38 | |
| 21d | Nuages | Yes / 76.0¢ | +12.51 | $9.6 | |
| 21d | AJSV | No / 24.0¢ | +12.51 | $3 | |
| 26d | Ironvein | No / 14.5¢ | -2.24 | $0.32 | |
| 26d | AJSV | No / 15.0¢ | +2.24 | $0.34 |
1–25
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 94%$3.52Mvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Yes 65%$93.9Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
No 58%$170Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?
No 83%$167Kvolume
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
No 63%$106Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 93%$2.08Mvolume