Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ActiveVolume
$13K
Txns
434
Traders
101
Fees
$28
Liquidity
$109
Volume
$13K
Txns
434
Traders
101
Fees
$28
Liquidity
$109
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2m | 09F911029D74 | No / 84.4¢ | -6.00 | $5.06 | |
| 2m | sippingdrank | No / 84.5¢ | +30.43 | $25.9 | |
| 2m | MythicalScissors | No / 84.6¢ | -14.62 | $12.4 | |
| 2m | DeepDitch | No / 84.5¢ | -9.81 | $8.29 | |
| 25m | simulacrum3 | Yes / 31.2¢ | +14.13 | $4.53 | |
| 25m | dodgerlive | No / 68.8¢ | +14.13 | $9.72 | |
| 49m | iamgleb | No / 69.9¢ | -4.38 | $3.06 | |
| 49m | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149 | Yes / 94.0¢ | -1.00 | $0.94 | |
| 49m | sportkingzer | Yes / 29.3¢ | -4.38 | $1.28 | |
| 49m | iamgleb | No / 5.8¢ | -1.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1h | RustyScissors | No / 33.0¢ | +21.21 | $7 | |
| 1h | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f562149 | Yes / 66.8¢ | +79.23 | $53.7 | |
| 1h | MiniElTigre | No / 33.2¢ | +45.18 | $15 | |
| 1h | 09F911029D74 | No / 33.3¢ | +6.00 | $2 | |
| 1h | iamgleb | No / 33.4¢ | +6.84 | $2.28 | |
| 1h | troim | No / 70.3¢ | +63.50 | $44.6 | |
| 1h | 0x2b670A311561DcAF741D8155451774D3Fa7fb814-1778467735876 | Yes / 29.7¢ | +97.26 | $29.7 | |
| 1h | wavesinthesky | Yes / 31.0¢ | -5.26 | $1.63 | |
| 1h | PPMT | Yes / 29.6¢ | -28.50 | $8.44 | |
| 9h | TheOnePanda | No / 77.0¢ | -9.28 | $7.15 | |
| 9h | AJSV | No / 77.7¢ | +9.28 | $7.21 | |
| 1d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 79.3¢ | -1.21 | $0.96 | |
| 1d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 79.9¢ | +1.21 | $0.97 | |
| 1d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 90.5¢ | +1.22 | $1.1 | |
| 1d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 90.5¢ | -1.22 | $1.1 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
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