
Volume
$19K
Txns
540
Traders
121
Fees
$32
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | PPMT | No / 1.3¢ | +45.00 | $0.58 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +5.48 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | Ben.Netanyahu | Yes / 99.1¢ | +250.00 | $248 | |
| 1mo | zxcursed121 | No / 0.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 1.1¢ | +25.56 | $0.28 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 1.3¢ | +9.22 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +21.20 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +12.56 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +20.69 | $0.02 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +5.48 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +3.59 | $0 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 1.3¢ | +9.22 | $0.12 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | No / 1.2¢ | +84.00 | $1.01 | |
| 1mo | GN2 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +1.12 | $1.11 | |
| 1mo | PolyEGG | Yes / 98.9¢ | +15.15 | $15 | |
| 1mo | zxcursed121 | No / 1.1¢ | +8.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | No / 1.0¢ | +7.15 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | Lavincey | No / 1.0¢ | +1.12 | $0.01 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +3.00 | $0 | |
| 1mo | 0x5449...46992b | Yes / 99.9¢ | +2.50 | $2.5 | |
| 1mo | 0xaa06...af1e0f | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3.00 | $3 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +1.77 | $0 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +2.12 | $0 | |
| 1mo | 0xd27c...7dd9b8 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +5.55 | $5.54 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 0.1¢ | +0.56 | $0 |
1–25
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 73%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?
No 58%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?
No 89%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Yes 72%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
No 84%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
No 56%$0volume