Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ActiveVolume
$13K
Txns
415
Traders
94
Fees
$26
Liquidity
$354
Volume
$13K
Txns
415
Traders
94
Fees
$26
Liquidity
$354
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7h | TheOnePanda | No / 77.0¢ | -9.28 | $7.15 | |
| 7h | AJSV | No / 77.7¢ | +9.28 | $7.21 | |
| 1d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 79.3¢ | -1.21 | $0.96 | |
| 1d | 0xf528...127e5b | No / 79.9¢ | +1.21 | $0.97 | |
| 1d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 90.5¢ | +1.22 | $1.1 | |
| 1d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 90.5¢ | -1.22 | $1.1 | |
| 2d | FFFF0857LP | Yes / 8.3¢ | -0.86 | $0.07 | |
| 2d | DeepDitch | No / 91.4¢ | -0.86 | $0.79 | |
| 2d | TheOnePanda | No / 75.3¢ | +9.29 | $7 | |
| 2d | 48xsds | Yes / 9.1¢ | -5.72 | $0.52 | |
| 2d | dodgerlive | No / 84.2¢ | +7.00 | $5.89 | |
| 2d | 50sad | Yes / 9.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.46 | |
| 2d | jjddr | Yes / 26.4¢ | +1,327.73 | $360 | |
| 2d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 90.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.08 | |
| 2d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 75.1¢ | +10.00 | $7.51 | |
| 2d | troim | No / 70.3¢ | +536.50 | $377 | |
| 2d | DeepDitch | No / 84.3¢ | +10.67 | $8.99 | |
| 2d | 48xsds | Yes / 9.2¢ | -5.00 | $0.46 | |
| 2d | MythicalScissors | No / 75.2¢ | +14.62 | $11 | |
| 2d | 50sad | Yes / 9.1¢ | -5.72 | $0.52 | |
| 2d | Djibooty | Yes / 25.0¢ | -703.21 | $176 | |
| 2d | 50sad | Yes / 15.7¢ | -5.00 | $0.79 | |
| 3d | FFFF0857LP | No / 90.6¢ | -0.30 | $0.27 | |
| 3d | 50sad | Yes / 9.1¢ | -0.30 | $0.03 | |
| 3d | 50sad | Yes / 8.1¢ | +6.60 | $0.53 |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 61%$332Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 95%$3.21Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$67.5Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.85Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$65.4Kvolume
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
No 100%$2.87Mvolume