
Volume
$35K
Txns
744
Traders
141
Fees
$50
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any OpenAI GPT model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1mo | Slackjaw | Yes / 99.9¢ | -40.00 | $40 | |
| 1mo | Ben.Netanyahu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 1mo | Ben.Netanyahu | Yes / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1mo | .Menthe | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 1.6¢ | -9.30 | $0.15 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | No / 1.6¢ | -5.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 1.5¢ | -9.29 | $0.14 | |
| 1mo | 0xC94eBDf54A95A0281d08d05200BB35160a87C73C-1778365983698 | No / 2.0¢ | +50.91 | $1.04 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | No / 1.7¢ | -6.20 | $0.11 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | No / 2.8¢ | -16.12 | $0.45 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | No / 1.5¢ | -5.00 | $0.07 | |
| 1mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 1.0¢ | +5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | No / 1.0¢ | -5.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1mo | 09F911029D74 | No / 1.0¢ | +195.00 | $1.95 | |
| 1mo | TrashGirl | No / 1.0¢ | -195.00 | $1.87 | |
| 1mo | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | Yes / 99.0¢ | +80.00 | $79.2 | |
| 1mo | tripsomewheresouth | No / 1.0¢ | +80.00 | $0.8 | |
| 1mo | TrashGirl | No / 36.0¢ | +100.00 | $36 | |
| 1mo | Hot-Skull | Yes / 64.0¢ | +100.00 | $64.9 | |
| 1mo | hesure | No / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 | |
| 1mo | 0xf528...127e5b | Yes / 84.0¢ | -7.00 | $5.88 | |
| 1mo | 0xC91b7D9F4463C9985f5621493829ahdfc | Yes / 94.0¢ | -167.13 | $157 | |
| 1mo | 50sad | No / 16.0¢ | +14.90 | $2.38 | |
| 1mo | troim | No / 15.0¢ | +2.51 | $0.38 | |
| 1mo | hesure | No / 5.0¢ | +20.00 | $1 |
1–25
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?
Yes 72%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?
No 80%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?
No 86%$0volume
Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in July 2026?
No 83%$0volume
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by July 31?
No 93%$0volume
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be at least $2.5T?
No 97%$0volume