Will any Google Gemini 3 model score at least 1500 on LMArena by December 31?
ResolvedVolume
$485K
Txns
7,731
Traders
821
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
Volume
$485K
Txns
7,731
Traders
821
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at any point any Google Gemini 3 model has at least the specified arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text) by December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | tolosacanovas | No / 99.9¢ | +34.47 | $34.4 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +34.47 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | lum520 | No / 99.9¢ | +40.00 | $40 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 | |
| 5mo | zengade | No / 99.9¢ | +75.00 | $74.9 | |
| 5mo | 139998 | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.35 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.12 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1.53 | $0 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.05 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | zazazzazaazaa | No / 99.9¢ | +300.30 | $300 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.45 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.96 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.44 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.02 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.38 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.9¢ | +159.64 | $159 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | No / 99.8¢ | +841.36 | $840 | |
| 5mo | Perypery | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.09 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.55 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | CPU | No / 99.8¢ | -841.36 | $840 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +81.00 | $0.08 | |
| 5mo | 0xaD112 | No / 99.8¢ | +15.03 | $15 |
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