Will any candidate win outright in 1st round of Bolivia Election?

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Bolivia on August 17, 2025. If necessary, a second round will be held on October 19, 2025. To win in the first round outright, one presidential candidate must secure over 50% of the valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead over the second-place candidate. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bolivian Government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/).