Will any Anthropic Claude model score at least 25% on the FrontierMath Exam?
ResolvedVolume
$19K
Txns
189
Traders
81
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
Volume
$19K
Txns
189
Traders
81
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | mygogogo | No / 0.1¢ | -290.00 | $0.29 | |
| 3mo | notawinner99 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | bamesjond | Yes / 99.9¢ | -390.00 | $390 | |
| 3mo | MistahFox | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | ScottVan | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | MistahFox | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,022.00 | $3.02K | |
| 3mo | mygogogo | No / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 3mo | Buddha0689 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -22.00 | $22 | |
| 3mo | laihuaoweir | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 3mo | kentshen01 | Yes / 99.6¢ | +67.00 | $66.7 | |
| 3mo | gioogioo | No / 0.4¢ | +400.00 | $1.43 | |
| 3mo | woaininiyeaizheni | Yes / 99.6¢ | +50.00 | $49.8 | |
| 3mo | bondibeach | Yes / 99.6¢ | +100.00 | $99.6 | |
| 3mo | 15Mins | No / 0.2¢ | -61.00 | $0.12 | |
| 3mo | Buddha0689 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 3mo | 13ea | No / 0.1¢ | -41.00 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | MartinaPampas | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | FedericoAsado | No / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | 15Mins | No / 0.2¢ | -439.00 | $0.88 | |
| 3mo | gioogioo | No / 0.2¢ | +1,900.00 | $3.54 | |
| 3mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.2¢ | -1,000.00 | $2 | |
| 3mo | From300To10K | No / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 3mo | justApredictdog | No / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | 13ea | No / 0.1¢ | -59.00 | $0.06 | |
| 3mo | 0x2C45f2bE0c74bf01580A4b558bb26979D6e64790-1758033737214 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +141.00 | $141 |
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