Volume
$20K
Txns
112
Traders
39
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 3, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 30% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by June 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
Trades
GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 74%$0volume
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
No 99%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?
Yes 98%$0volume
GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?
Yes 79%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | WAR.MONITOR | Yes / 0.1¢ | +979.01 | $0.98 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +478.00 | $0.48 | |
| 1y | planktonXD | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4,000.00 | $8 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.8¢ | +5,537.44 | $5.53K | |
| 1y | aikko | No / 99.9¢ | -38.43 | $38.4 | |
| 1y | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.7¢ | +792.00 | $790 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +792.00 | $2.38 | |
| 1y | JuliusNakamoto | No / 99.8¢ | -542.73 | $542 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +542.00 | $1.63 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.8¢ | +1,084.73 | $1.08K | |
| 1y | JuliusNakamoto | No / 99.8¢ | -100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 1y | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 1y | WAR.MONITOR | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.99 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | trump.slonic | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.99 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | whyuasostupid | Yes / 0.4¢ | +100.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.7¢ | +428.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | noreasapa | No / 99.4¢ | +595.00 | $591 | |
| 1y | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.6¢ | +67.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | chatgpt.com | Yes / 1.1¢ | -205.43 | $2.26 | |
| 1y | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 1.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.55 | |
| 1y | JuliusNakamoto | No / 98.8¢ | -570.32 | $564 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 1.2¢ | -314.89 | $3.78 |
1–25