Volume
$35K
Txns
260
Traders
63
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 3, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any team achieves a score of 20% or higher on the private evaluation set of ARC-AGI-2 by April 30, 2025 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only scores publicly confirmed by ARC Prize will qualify. The resolution source will be official information from ARC Prize (https://arcprize.org).
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Geromi | No / 99.9¢ | -20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +20.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | 8396239287 | No / 99.7¢ | +5,619.00 | $5.6K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +4,000.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | Evador | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,619.00 | $4.86 | |
| 1y | WAR.MONITOR | Yes / 0.5¢ | -2.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Mujora | No / 99.5¢ | -2.00 | $1.99 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.3¢ | -500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +500.00 | $1.5 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +21.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.3¢ | -21.00 | $0.06 | |
| 1y | wubddh | No / 99.7¢ | +1,550.28 | $1.55K | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,550.28 | $4.65 | |
| 1y | elon777 | Yes / 0.3¢ | +1,581.95 | $4.75 | |
| 1y | wubddh | No / 99.7¢ | +1,581.95 | $1.58K |
1–25
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?
Yes 59%$332Kvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30?
Yes 100%$128Kvolume
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
Yes 93%$3.22Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Yes 100%$77.8Kvolume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Yes 89%$1.86Mvolume
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.25T by June 30?
Yes 100%$31.3Kvolume