Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$32K
Txns
743
Traders
140
Fees
$22
Liquidity
$3,162
Ends
Volume
$32K
Txns
743
Traders
140
Fees
$22
Liquidity
$3,162
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 91.0¢ | -86.08 | $78.3 | |
| 18h | rebate8784 | Yes / 8.7¢ | -86.08 | $7.47 | |
| 1d | TraderProMax | Yes / 11.0¢ | +12.38 | $1.36 | |
| 1d | planktonXD | Yes / 10.0¢ | +10.34 | $1.03 | |
| 1d | kfpanda | Yes / 10.2¢ | -22.72 | $2.31 | |
| 1d | X-Rabbit.Sezu | No / 86.0¢ | +11.24 | $9.67 | |
| 1d | TraderProMax | Yes / 11.0¢ | +11.24 | $1.24 | |
| 1d | iliabouchouev | No / 85.5¢ | -11.24 | $9.61 | |
| 1d | 0x04B3F873B003eba3774dF1E5e47A370d27Ee1B7E-1774574222951 | No / 89.0¢ | +11.24 | $10 | |
| 5d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 82.4¢ | -1.37 | $1.13 | |
| 5d | purebaby | Yes / 17.0¢ | -1.37 | $0.23 | |
| 5d | elpatrondelaciudad | No / 89.0¢ | +1.37 | $1.23 | |
| 5d | TraderProMax | Yes / 11.0¢ | +1.37 | $0.15 | |
| 17d | Biver52 | Yes / 3.0¢ | +100.00 | $3 | |
| 17d | ultralisk | Yes / 3.0¢ | +75.00 | $2.25 | |
| 17d | BSS37 | Yes / 3.0¢ | +100.00 | $3 | |
| 17d | badtradesonly | Yes / 3.0¢ | -300.00 | $8.89 | |
| 17d | AJSV | Yes / 4.0¢ | +25.00 | $1 | |
| 18d | Talyxion | No / 84.5¢ | -20.00 | $16.9 | |
| 18d | AJSV | No / 85.0¢ | +20.00 | $17 | |
| 20d | 15rob | No / 80.0¢ | +1.64 | $1.31 | |
| 20d | 0heartu | No / 79.4¢ | -1.64 | $1.3 | |
| 20d | 0x2b240 | Yes / 16.4¢ | -161.34 | $26.5 | |
| 20d | BabyIBeenWatchingYou | No / 83.0¢ | -161.34 | $134 | |
| 21d | goog-ly-10-10 | Yes / 18.0¢ | +250.00 | $46.5 |
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