Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
ActiveVolume
$37K
Txns
1,451
Traders
211
Fees
$48
Liquidity
$3,369
Ends
Volume
$37K
Txns
1,451
Traders
211
Fees
$48
Liquidity
$3,369
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18h | KimJonEn | Yes / 18.0¢ | +86.50 | $15.6 | |
| 18h | rebate8784 | Yes / 17.4¢ | -86.50 | $15.1 | |
| 1d | Raketa09 | No / 81.0¢ | -10.00 | $8.1 | |
| 1d | kfpanda | Yes / 17.8¢ | -22.22 | $3.97 | |
| 1d | KimJonEn | Yes / 18.0¢ | +12.22 | $2.2 | |
| 3d | massappealyo | Yes / 17.7¢ | -368.07 | $65.3 | |
| 3d | planktonXD | Yes / 19.0¢ | +63.00 | $12 | |
| 3d | planktonXD | Yes / 19.0¢ | +63.00 | $12 | |
| 3d | KimJonEn | Yes / 18.0¢ | +242.07 | $43.6 | |
| 3d | AJSV | Yes / 20.0¢ | +24.99 | $5 | |
| 3d | massappealyo | Yes / 17.8¢ | -200.00 | $35.6 | |
| 3d | molodoyy | No / 81.0¢ | -34.72 | $28.1 | |
| 3d | KimJonEn | Yes / 18.0¢ | +140.29 | $25.3 | |
| 3d | AJSV | Yes / 20.0¢ | +70.00 | $14 | |
| 3d | massappealyo | Yes / 19.7¢ | -100.00 | $19.7 | |
| 3d | Colala | Yes / 21.0¢ | +30.00 | $6.3 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 | |
| 6d | thursdays | Yes / 24.7¢ | +144.20 | $36.7 | |
| 6d | newaccount2135 | Yes / 25.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.25 |
1–25