Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1500 by December 31?
ResolvedVolume
$35K
Txns
393
Traders
110
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
Volume
$35K
Txns
393
Traders
110
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
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| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | MistahFox | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,725.00 | $1.72K | |
| 3mo | 10KPnl | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | 15Mins | No / 0.1¢ | +500.00 | $0.5 | |
| 3mo | absoluteBottom | No / 0.2¢ | +25.00 | $0.05 | |
| 3mo | YJQEatSmoke | No / 0.1¢ | +200.00 | $0.2 | |
| 3mo | ACara | No / 0.1¢ | +339.63 | $0.39 | |
| 3mo | HE110W0R1D | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Anne666 | No / 0.1¢ | -159.90 | $0.16 | |
| 3mo | Anne666 | No / 0.1¢ | -129.73 | $0.13 | |
| 3mo | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 3mo | akunai | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 3mo | Anne666 | No / 0.1¢ | -350.00 | $0.35 | |
| 3mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66 | |
| 3mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 99.9¢ | +3,660.00 | $3.66K | |
| 3mo | chaoticgod | Yes / 99.0¢ | -380.97 | $377 | |
| 3mo | HE110W0R1D | Yes / 99.0¢ | +50.00 | $49.5 | |
| 3mo | perepuk | No / 0.2¢ | -14.66 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | Perypery | No / 1.0¢ | -316.31 | $3.16 | |
| 3mo | fernj | No / 0.2¢ | +1.01 | $0 | |
| 3mo | perepuk | No / 0.2¢ | -1.01 | $0 | |
| 3mo | ACara | No / 0.3¢ | +61.63 | $0.18 | |
| 3mo | Anne666 | No / 0.2¢ | -1,693.37 | $3.45 | |
| 3mo | flexo | Yes / 99.8¢ | -1,631.74 | $1.63K | |
| 3mo | fernj | No / 1.6¢ | +1.01 | $0.02 |
1–25