
Volume
$4K
Txns
161
Traders
45
Fees
$4
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
No 62%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 23, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will OpenAI IPO by July 31 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?
No 63%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 99%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2mo | flexer78 | No / 0.3¢ | +16.66 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | sllllllllllllllllllll | Yes / 99.7¢ | +24.66 | $24.6 | |
| 2mo | zxcursed121 | No / 0.3¢ | +8.00 | $0.02 | |
| 2mo | flexer78 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | eeeeeeret | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | 0xbA17aAa8ED37Ad40567A3f62fB49a41dCCf392b4-1760057257023 | No / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 2mo | triklozoid | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | eeeeeeret | No / 0.5¢ | +50.00 | $0.25 | |
| 2mo | thecaricature | No / 0.2¢ | +50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | thecaricature | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 2mo | sllllllllllllllllllll | Yes / 99.8¢ | +333.56 | $333 | |
| 2mo | TENETENET | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 2mo | LornaPredicts | No / 0.5¢ | +23.56 | $0.12 | |
| 2mo | PPMT | Yes / 99.4¢ | -20.00 | $19.9 | |
| 2mo | sllllllllllllllllllll | Yes / 99.4¢ | +37.44 | $37.2 | |
| 2mo | LornaPredicts | No / 0.5¢ | +17.44 | $0.09 | |
| 2mo | ScottsRoad | No / 4.0¢ | +50.00 | $2 | |
| 2mo | predictdogepepewif | No / 6.2¢ | +50.00 | $3.1 | |
| 2mo | wavesinthesky | Yes / 95.0¢ | -35.00 | $33.3 | |
| 2mo | wavesinthesky | Yes / 97.0¢ | -20.00 | $19.4 | |
| 2mo | PeelyBone | Yes / 95.1¢ | +213.30 | $203 | |
| 2mo | J25525 | No / 5.0¢ | +58.30 | $2.92 | |
| 2mo | thecaricature | No / 6.3¢ | -49.30 | $3.11 | |
| 2mo | wavesinthesky | Yes / 93.5¢ | -49.30 | $46.1 | |
| 2mo | PPMT | Yes / 93.8¢ | +20.00 | $18.8 |
1–25