
Volume
$196K
Txns
1,747
Traders
362
Fees
$1,327
Liquidity
$9,970
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the public valuation of Anthropic surpasses the market capitalization of Bitcoin (BTC) at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For Bitcoin, CoinGecko's data for BTC will be used, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/bitcoin. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead. For Anthropic, any public valuation, or private funding round that values the company will be considered. To qualify, the valuation must be explicitly confirmed by Anthropic or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will CoinGecko and Anthropic's official communications; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31…
No 90%$0volume
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Yes 91%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
No 72%$0volume
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on…
Yes 91%$0volume
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Yes 75%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18m | mk333 | No / 39.0¢ | -5.52 | $2.16 | |
| 18m | AJSV | No / 40.0¢ | +5.52 | $2.21 | |
| 1d | 0xA158c | Yes / 59.0¢ | -3.93 | $2.32 | |
| 1d | garlictrump | No / 40.0¢ | -3.93 | $1.57 | |
| 1d | gydmasg | No / 39.0¢ | -196.07 | $76.5 | |
| 1d | 0xA158c | Yes / 60.0¢ | -196.07 | $118 | |
| 1d | 0xA158c | Yes / 62.0¢ | +200.00 | $124 | |
| 1d | MaxLecter | Yes / 62.0¢ | +200.00 | $124 | |
| 1d | notssf3 | Yes / 61.1¢ | -401.43 | $245 | |
| 1d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 37.0¢ | -1.43 | $0.53 | |
| 1d | 0x61f2FB3BAE210403381409E565D784D97818e77a-1780457954065 | No / 37.0¢ | -8.57 | $3.17 | |
| 1d | 0xb486...24214b | Yes / 61.8¢ | -8.57 | $5.29 | |
| 1d | 0xb486...24214b | Yes / 64.0¢ | +8.58 | $5.6 | |
| 1d | BTCGOOSE | Yes / 64.0¢ | -8.58 | $5.49 | |
| 1d | 0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519 | No / 37.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.85 | |
| 1d | Elias.Thornwell | No / 37.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.9 | |
| 2d | BTCGOOSE | Yes / 64.0¢ | -20.00 | $12.8 | |
| 2d | 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190 | No / 35.1¢ | -20.00 | $7.02 | |
| 3d | vegashell | No / 31.1¢ | -196.07 | $61 | |
| 3d | gydmasg | No / 32.0¢ | +196.07 | $62.7 | |
| 4d | 0xaF05465D8f88a8Aad0BD916d23fA781BaA8a33E2-1781769499788 | No / 35.0¢ | -5.00 | $1.75 | |
| 4d | maintao | No / 35.0¢ | +5.00 | $1.8 | |
| 4d | Dr.PNL | Yes / 68.0¢ | -105.09 | $71.5 | |
| 4d | jyPoz | Yes / 68.0¢ | +105.09 | $72.4 | |
| 4d | 0xE8C428250693d7f1E588ba6F4666d02E68F0eA5c-1782008528190 | No / 33.0¢ | +20.00 | $6.6 |
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