Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?

Resolved

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Volume

$48K

Txns

1,005

Traders

193

Fees

Ends

Dec 31, 2025

AI Business DeepSeek mistral

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any open source model has one of three highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) at any point by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If an open source model is tied with another model for a top three arena score, this will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Analytics

Volume

Fees

Age	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.1¢	+20.33	$0.02
1y	0 AreWeNotEntertained	Yes / 99.9¢	+20.33	$20.3
1y	0 qwertzu	No / 0.1¢	+20.00	$0.02
1y	0 spcfox	No / 0.1¢	+1,000.00	$1
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.9¢	+1,333.00	$1.33K
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.1¢	+313.00	$0.31
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.8¢	+2,125.72	$2.12K
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.2¢	+333.33	$0.67
1y	0 elon777	No / 0.2¢	+1,792.39	$3.58
1y	0 AreWeNotEntertained	Yes / 99.7¢	+333.33	$332
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.3¢	+333.33	$1
1y	Minecraft	No / 0.2¢	+222.00	$0.44
1y	0 morcatk0	Yes / 99.8¢	+2,429.61	$2.42K
1y	0 elon777	No / 0.2¢	+2,207.61	$4.42
1y	0 morcatk0	Yes / 99.7¢	+20.99	$20.9
1y	0 split	Yes / 99.7¢	-20.99	$20.9
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.5¢	+499.98	$497
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.5¢	+166.66	$0.83
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.6¢	+166.66	$1
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.4¢	+166.66	$0.67
1y	Minecraft	No / 0.6¢	+222.00	$1.33
1y	0 daroghi	No / 0.7¢	+91.77	$0.64
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.4¢	+313.77	$312
1y	0 uriidmitrych	Yes / 98.0¢	-30.00	$29.4
1y	0 pootytherewardfarmer	Yes / 99.0¢	-21.00	$20.8

Age	Trader	Outcome	Shares	Value
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.1¢	+20.33	$0.02
1y	0 AreWeNotEntertained	Yes / 99.9¢	+20.33	$20.3
1y	0 qwertzu	No / 0.1¢	+20.00	$0.02
1y	0 spcfox	No / 0.1¢	+1,000.00	$1
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.9¢	+1,333.00	$1.33K
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.1¢	+313.00	$0.31
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.8¢	+2,125.72	$2.12K
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.2¢	+333.33	$0.67
1y	0 elon777	No / 0.2¢	+1,792.39	$3.58
1y	0 AreWeNotEntertained	Yes / 99.7¢	+333.33	$332
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.3¢	+333.33	$1
1y	Minecraft	No / 0.2¢	+222.00	$0.44
1y	0 morcatk0	Yes / 99.8¢	+2,429.61	$2.42K
1y	0 elon777	No / 0.2¢	+2,207.61	$4.42
1y	0 morcatk0	Yes / 99.7¢	+20.99	$20.9
1y	0 split	Yes / 99.7¢	-20.99	$20.9
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.5¢	+499.98	$497
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.5¢	+166.66	$0.83
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.6¢	+166.66	$1
1y	0 Evador	No / 0.4¢	+166.66	$0.67
1y	Minecraft	No / 0.6¢	+222.00	$1.33
1y	0 daroghi	No / 0.7¢	+91.77	$0.64
1y	0 rwo	Yes / 99.4¢	+313.77	$312
1y	0 uriidmitrych	Yes / 98.0¢	-30.00	$29.4
1y	0 pootytherewardfarmer	Yes / 99.0¢	-21.00	$20.8

Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?

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Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?

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Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?

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Will an open-source AI model become Top 3 this year?

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