
Volume
$940K
Txns
16,714
Traders
740
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 31, 2025
Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz said there were more than two dozen confidential human sources (CHSs) in the crowd outside the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 (see: https://abcnews.go.com/US/probe-finds-no-evidence-feds-involved-inciting-jan-6/story?id=116721978). This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of a current or former FBI employee or informant stemming from their involvement in the 2021, January 6 capitol riots by March 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
No 75%$0volume
NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?
No 89%$0volume
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
No 95%$0volume
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No 98%$0volume
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?
No 82%$0volume
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?
No 63%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +50.65 | $50.6 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | m20241223 | No / 99.9¢ | +68.00 | $67.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.9¢ | -218.65 | $218 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | trashtier | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | trashtier | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.00 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.00 | $0.04 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.9¢ | +119.73 | $120 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.73 | $0 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Geromi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +72.29 | $0.07 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | No / 99.9¢ | +98.93 | $98.8 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.8¢ | -6.64 | $6.63 | |
| 1y | SuperFer-489 | No / 99.8¢ | +20.04 | $20 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.8¢ | -20.04 | $20 | |
| 1y | SuperFer-489 | No / 99.8¢ | +20.04 | $20 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.8¢ | -20.04 | $20 | |
| 1y | Eriandor | No / 99.9¢ | +2.30 | $2.3 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.9¢ | -2.30 | $2.3 | |
| 1y | daroghi | No / 99.9¢ | -45.00 | $45 |
1–25