
Volume
$438K
Txns
8,939
Traders
1,472
Fees
$0
Ends
Apr 30, 2025
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena score based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Arena Score" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked will be used to resolve this market. If two models are tied for the top arena score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order (e.g. if both were tied, "Google" would resolve to "Yes", and "xAI" would resolve to "No") The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | kmsyd777 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Christof12 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -900.00 | $0.9 | |
| 1y | daroghi | Yes / 0.1¢ | -100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | Christof12 | Yes / 0.2¢ | -149.37 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | Fartard | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4,701.26 | $4.7 | |
| 1y | HectorLondo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4,850.63 | $5 | |
| 1y | Fartard | Yes / 0.1¢ | -696.55 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | SatoshiNakaide | Yes / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2,250.00 | $2.25 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -53.45 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -696.55 | $0.7 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -303.45 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | nobetting | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Rdrd | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | NeoVanguard | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -2.00 | $0 | |
| 1y | Kvass | No / 99.9¢ | -2.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | oracle1 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -634.00 | $0.63 | |
| 1y | RichardTheTurd | Yes / 0.1¢ | -20.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | woodi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | nomiyy | No / 99.9¢ | +72.00 | $71.9 | |
| 1y | cobonaitis | No / 99.9¢ | +70.00 | $69.9 | |
| 1y | littlefish | No / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 |
1–25
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 97%$0volume
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 88%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 88%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 59%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on l…
No 60%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
No 53%$0volume