
Volume
$122
Txns
10
Traders
6
Fees
$1
Liquidity
$686
Ends
Sep 1, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a hurricane makes landfall in the conterminous United States between August 1 and August 31, 2026, 11:59:59 PM ET, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/) and post-storm Tropical Cyclone Reports (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A landfall counts toward this total only if it occurs within this window; the time of the physical landfall governs, not the time any confirming advisory is issued. A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php, and a hurricane landfall is said to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline, as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL. A storm must hold hurricane strength (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson scale) at the moment its surface center intersects the coastline for that landfall to qualify. This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying landfall regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward at the time of landfall. However, if a subsequent advisory or correction identifies a qualifying landfall that was not reflected in initial reporting, that landfall will be added.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3h | 0x7Af0c6129fC06eEbECb709eb7A05436742e8EF23-1782746629039 | No / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10.3 | |
| 3h | monoclith | Yes / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10 | |
| 4h | monoclith | Yes / 50.0¢ | +2.00 | $1 | |
| 4h | 0x99b0...d04183 | No / 50.0¢ | +2.00 | $1.02 | |
| 4h | tradetosurvive1 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10 | |
| 4h | 0x7Af0c6129fC06eEbECb709eb7A05436742e8EF23-1782746629039 | Yes / 50.0¢ | +20.00 | $10 | |
| 4h | 0x32eb...bbf531 | No / 50.0¢ | +38.96 | $20.1 | |
| 4h | monoclith | Yes / 50.0¢ | +38.96 | $19.5 | |
| 4h | skybuyer24 | No / 50.0¢ | +40.00 | $20.5 |
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