
Volume
$142K
Txns
1,934
Traders
521
Fees
$0
Ends
Nov 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any named tropical system makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 5 hurricane between June 1 and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2025/). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If any hurricane makes multiple landfalls in the contiguous United States, each landfall will be considered for the resolution of this market. For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether a system has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of category 5, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 89%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 90%$0volume
New pandemic in 2026?
No 93%$0volume
Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
No 61%$0volume
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?
Yes 53%$0volume
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
No 95%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +81.00 | $0.08 | |
| 8mo | i2dt | No / 99.9¢ | +1,148.48 | $1.15K | |
| 8mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +168.00 | $0.17 | |
| 8mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +264.58 | $0.26 | |
| 8mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -239.90 | $240 | |
| 8mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +69.00 | $0.07 | |
| 8mo | daystay | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +98.00 | $0.1 | |
| 8mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +128.00 | $0.13 | |
| 8mo | fengyingbidu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -199.98 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +199.98 | $0.2 | |
| 8mo | tailevent | Yes / 0.1¢ | +114.87 | $0.11 | |
| 8mo | Newbiao | Yes / 0.1¢ | -114.87 | $0.11 | |
| 8mo | Newbiao | Yes / 0.2¢ | -185.12 | $0.37 | |
| 8mo | fengyingbidu | Yes / 0.2¢ | +185.12 | $0.37 | |
| 8mo | NatureExplorer7122 | No / 99.8¢ | +6.85 | $6.84 | |
| 8mo | fengyingbidu | Yes / 0.2¢ | +6.85 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | Michael5289 | No / 99.6¢ | +5.00 | $4.98 | |
| 8mo | Ant-Fo | Yes / 0.4¢ | +5.00 | $0.02 | |
| 8mo | InfernoBlde311 | No / 99.8¢ | +4.22 | $4.21 | |
| 8mo | fengyingbidu | Yes / 0.2¢ | +4.22 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | 03St0rmRder22 | No / 99.8¢ | +3.80 | $3.79 | |
| 8mo | fengyingbidu | Yes / 0.2¢ | +3.80 | $0.01 | |
| 8mo | OriKing | No / 99.5¢ | +3.28 | $3.26 | |
| 8mo | Dugong4382 | No / 99.5¢ | -3.28 | $3.26 |
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