
Volume
$24K
Txns
1,997
Traders
587
Fees
$0
Ends
Feb 28, 2025
The Trump administration announced Tuesday that it is offering deferred resignations to all federal employees who opt to leave their jobs by February 6 (see: https://www.opm.gov/fork) This market will resolve according to the number of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the number is reported as a percentage of the Federal workforce, with no reporting of the actual number by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will use the most exact unrounded percentage reported out of 3,010,000 to calculate the number of deferred resignations (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001). If the Trump Administration does not publish the number or percentage of employees that accept the deferred resignation offer by February 28, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -6.88 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -958.65 | $0.96 | |
| 1y | Sebastianthecrab | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -24.47 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Thunder-Cinder | Yes / 0.2¢ | +454.58 | $1.02 | |
| 1y | XYbhFxVsRY | Yes / 0.1¢ | -295.23 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -18.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.5¢ | +141.35 | $141 | |
| 1y | XYbhFxVsRY | Yes / 0.1¢ | -872.77 | $0.87 | |
| 1y | AzurewingBriar | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,240.00 | $1.24 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -367.23 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | XYbhFxVsRY | Yes / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | XYbhFxVsRY | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | cry.eth2 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | XYbhFxVsRY | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,146.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | pSmkeRuEBE | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,146.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | pSmkeRuEBE | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,146.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | QhckAMKcLw | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,146.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | QhckAMKcLw | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,146.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | byEBBOFoIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,146.00 | $1.15 | |
| 1y | UnmbMvwEYL | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,088.52 | $1.09 | |
| 1y | byEBBOFoIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,088.52 | $1.09 | |
| 1y | byEBBOFoIC | Yes / 0.1¢ | +18.48 | $0.02 |
1–25
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between December and June?
No 100%$116Kvolume
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 between December and June?
Yes 100%$772Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?
No 100%$43.2Kvolume
Will 100-150k federal employees accept the buyout?
No 100%$63.1Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$242Kvolume
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?
No 100%$288Kvolume