Volume
$2M
Txns
9,841
Traders
1,738
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 22, 2025
This market will resolve to "Wicked" if “Wicked: For Good” (2025) will gross more domestically on its opening weekend compared to "Avatar: Fire and Ash" (2025). This market will resolve to "Avatar" if “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (2025) will gross at least as much on its opening weekend compared to "Wicked: For Good" (2025). The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on The Numbers “Box Office” tab for "Wicked: For Good" (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Wicked-For-Good-(2025)#tab=summary) and “Avatar: Fire and Ash” (https://www.the-numbers.com/movie/Avatar-Fire-and-Ash-(2025)#tab=summary) will be used once the values for each film's 3-day opening weekend (November 21-23/December 19-21) are final (i.e. not studio estimates). Please note that this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether 'domestic' refers to only the USA, or to the USA and Canada, etc. If there is no final data available by December 29, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | ScottyNooo | Wicked / 99.6¢ | +331.83 | $331 | |
| 5mo | 0x7428D8bd3909387fFb8920fa497f05BFDD05b5E4-1765962371733 | Avatar / 0.4¢ | +7,290.46 | $29 | |
| 5mo | LinaBell | Wicked / 99.7¢ | +1,000.00 | $997 | |
| 5mo | ScottyNooo | Wicked / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 5mo | blunderbot | Wicked / 99.6¢ | +120.48 | $120 | |
| 5mo | gdyhv | Wicked / 99.5¢ | +738.15 | $734 | |
| 5mo | GondorCallsForAid | Wicked / 99.6¢ | +5,000.00 | $4.98K | |
| 5mo | Anjun | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +7.72 | $7.71 | |
| 5mo | 0x5e8a...135ba0 | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -7.72 | $7.71 | |
| 5mo | traffy.hl | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -2,269.41 | $2.27K | |
| 5mo | Anjun | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +2,269.41 | $2.27K | |
| 5mo | ReinforcementLearning | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -300.00 | $300 | |
| 5mo | LBZone | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +300.00 | $300 | |
| 5mo | LBZone | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +3,140.91 | $3.14K | |
| 5mo | 10000Bets | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -3,140.91 | $3.14K | |
| 5mo | Wqp | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | pelik | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 5mo | pelik | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -50.05 | $50 | |
| 5mo | zazazzazaazaa | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +50.05 | $50 | |
| 5mo | zazazzazaazaa | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +50.05 | $50 | |
| 5mo | pelik | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -50.05 | $50 | |
| 5mo | zengade | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +16.00 | $16 | |
| 5mo | zazazzazaazaa | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +50.05 | $50 | |
| 5mo | gogogo1234556 | Wicked / 99.9¢ | +1,001.00 | $1000 | |
| 5mo | pelik | Wicked / 99.9¢ | -1,001.00 | $1000 |
1–25
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 390m and 395m by January 31?
No 100%$23.4Kvolume
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 100%$35.5Kvolume
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 85m and 90m?
Yes 100%$200Kvolume
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be greater than 520m by January 31?
No 100%$921Kvolume
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
No 100%$45.8Kvolume
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 395m and 400m by January 31?
No 100%$20Kvolume