Who will win the VP debate according to polls?

Tim Walz and JD Vance are scheduled to participate in a debate hosted by CBS on October 1, 2024. This market will resolve to "Walz" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates Tim Walz won this debate against JD Vance. This market will resolve to "Vance" if the first relevant opinion poll released by Ipsos after the debate indicates JD Vance won. If the results are tied, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve to whichever candidate has a higher percentage than the other for the question regarding who performed better in the debate, or who won the debate. Other portions of the poll will not be considered for this market. If this debate is cancelled, otherwise rescheduled, or does not take place by October 15, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. This market will resolve according to the results of Ipsos first opinion poll over who won or performed better in the debate released after its conclusion. If Ipsos does not release a poll within a week of the debate (currently October 8, 11:59 PM ET), this market will resolve based on polling on the debate from Yougov. If Yougov also hasn't released a relevant poll within a week of the debate this market will resolve to "50-50".