Who will win Erie county?

This market will resolve to "Harris" if a Democratic candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. This market will resolve to "Trump" if a Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election. If neither a Democratic or Republican candidate wins the popular vote in Erie county, PA, in the 2024 US presidential election this market will resolve to 50-50. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee, or has a ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable party preference, of the party in question. If the margin between the leading candidate and the next candidate exceeds the number of outstanding votes (including mail-in) yet to be counted, this market may resolve accordingly. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting of the Erie county vote tally.