
Volume
$105K
Txns
1,270
Traders
322
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 25, 2024
This market will resolve to "Harris" if Kamala Harris has a greater chance than Donald Trump of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 25, 2024. This market will resolve to "Trump" if Donald Trump has a greater chance than Kamala Harris of winning the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election according to the Silver Bulletin's election forecast on October 25, 2024. If the Silver Bulletin's election forecast for October 25 is tied (there is no favorite), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's 2024 presidential election forecast, https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model, specifically the probability of winning the Electoral College. This market will resolve according to the datapoint for October 25 when the datapoint first becomes available. If no datapoint for October 25 is available by October 29, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the nearest previous datapoint to October 25.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | evgzink | Harris / 0.1¢ | +3,000.00 | $3 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | kekwkek | Harris / 0.1¢ | -1,492.10 | $1.49 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +50.75 | $50.7 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Iliilliill | Harris / 0.1¢ | -757.15 | $0.76 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.7¢ | -752.26 | $750 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Trump / 99.7¢ | +752.26 | $750 | |
| 1y | kekwkek | Harris / 0.5¢ | +34.69 | $0.17 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.5¢ | +34.69 | $34.5 | |
| 1y | Iliilliill | Harris / 0.7¢ | -42.86 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | razolet222 | Harris / 0.7¢ | +42.86 | $0.3 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 | |
| 1y | BlackSky123 | Trump / 99.9¢ | +250.00 | $250 |
1–25
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?
No 100%$0volume
Will Silver call 48 states correctly?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will 538 call 44 states correctly?
No 100%$0volume
Kamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?
No 100%$0volume
Will 538 call 45 states correctly?
No 100%$0volume
Will 538 call fewer than 43 states correctly?
No 100%$0volume