
Volume
$2M
Txns
1,147
Traders
192
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Labor Party" if the Australian Labor Party receives more total first-preference (primary) votes than the Liberal–National Coalition in the 2025 federal election, as reported by the Australian Electoral Commission (AEC). This market will resolve to "Coalition" if the combined total of first-preference (primary) votes received by the Liberal Party and the National Party (counted together as a single group, regardless of whether they run joint or separate candidates in individual electorates) exceeds that of the Labor Party. If any other political party or alliance receives more first-preference (primary) votes than either the Labor Party or the combined Liberal–National Coalition or if the results of this election aren't known by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "50-50". This market will resolve based on official first-preference national vote totals as reported by the Australian Electoral Commission (https://www.aec.gov.au/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Note: The Liberal and the National Parties of Australia (Liberal–National Coalition) will be considered a single party, NOT a coalition for the purpose of this market. If this alliance breaks up prior to the election, the market for Liberal–National Coalition will be assigned to the Liberal Party.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | rwo | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | -10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +10,000.00 | $9.99K | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +3,004.90 | $3K | |
| 1y | Red781RuM | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | -3,004.90 | $3K | |
| 1y | RoganJoshC | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | rwo | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +40,000.00 | $40 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +50,000.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +5,000.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | aenews2 | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +212,040.39 | $212K | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +30,000.00 | $30 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +47,040.39 | $47 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +20,000.00 | $20 | |
| 1y | HNIC | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +11,111.00 | $11.1K | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +8,151.39 | $8.15 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +2,959.61 | $2.96 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +1,843.60 | $1.84 | |
| 1y | rwo | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +1,843.60 | $1.84K | |
| 1y | imtiredb0ss | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +5.01 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Onlinesurfer | Coalition / 0.1¢ | +55,000.00 | $55 | |
| 1y | tsekinming01 | Labor Party / 99.9¢ | +69,738.62 | $69.7K |
1–25
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
No 99%$20Kvolume
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
No 100%$16.6Kvolume
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the June Meeting?
Yes 99%$16.8Kvolume
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
No 80%$7.35Kvolume
Will Angus Taylor be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
No 54%$30.3volume
Will Anthony Albanese be Prime Minister of Australia after the next election?
No 58%$11.4volume