
Volume
$267K
Txns
2,122
Traders
336
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2024
This market will resolve to "Democrat" if the shooter at Donald Trump’s rally in Butler, Pennsylvania, is confirmed to have been a registered Democrat, affiliated with left-wing groups such as Antifa, or had a public record of supporting liberal political causes. The market will resolve to "Republican" if the shooter is confirmed to have been a registered Republican, affiliated with right-wing groups, or had a public record of supporting conservative political causes, such as consistent support for Donald Trump. The resolution will be based on the shooter’s most recent political affiliations and activity. This market will resolve once there is definitive evidence of the shooter's political affiliations. If there has been no relevant information by July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET then this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market is official information from law enforcement agencies including the secret service and a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 80%$0volume
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Yes 100%$0volume
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
No 56%$0volume
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 99%$0volume
Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 88%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | aenews2 | Republican / 99.7¢ | -15.42 | $15.4 | |
| 1y | TOWARDSFI | Republican / 99.7¢ | +15.42 | $15.4 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Democrat / 0.2¢ | +12.94 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | dofordo | Republican / 99.8¢ | +12.94 | $12.9 | |
| 1y | Apsalar | Democrat / 2.0¢ | -57.87 | $1.16 | |
| 1y | 0x67c1...4b8cda | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +57.87 | $1.16 | |
| 1y | private200 | Republican / 98.0¢ | +47.61 | $46.7 | |
| 1y | 0x67c1...4b8cda | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +47.61 | $0.95 | |
| 1y | openclosefor | Republican / 98.0¢ | +14.40 | $14.1 | |
| 1y | 0x67c1...4b8cda | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +14.40 | $0.29 | |
| 1y | 1QAZ2WSX | Republican / 98.0¢ | +20.12 | $19.7 | |
| 1y | 0x67c1...4b8cda | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +20.12 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | MALDEMER | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +6.66 | $0.13 | |
| 1y | wenairdrop | Republican / 98.0¢ | +6.66 | $6.53 | |
| 1y | ilovepolymarket | Republican / 98.0¢ | +19.53 | $19.1 | |
| 1y | MALDEMER | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +19.53 | $0.39 | |
| 1y | 2024bullish | Republican / 98.0¢ | +18.53 | $18.2 | |
| 1y | MALDEMER | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +18.53 | $0.37 | |
| 1y | Whatever-199 | Republican / 95.0¢ | -40.00 | $38 | |
| 1y | MALDEMER | Democrat / 2.0¢ | +1,445.42 | $28.9 | |
| 1y | aaaaaaaaaaaaaa | Republican / 98.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.8 | |
| 1y | completion | Democrat / 8.0¢ | +100.00 | $8 | |
| 1y | completion | Democrat / 3.0¢ | +400.00 | $12 | |
| 1y | completion | Democrat / 8.0¢ | +200.00 | $16 | |
| 1y | 0x67c1...4b8cda | Democrat / 7.0¢ | +140.00 | $9.8 |
1–25