
Volume
$80K
Txns
1,401
Traders
338
Fees
$20
Liquidity
$15,946
Ends
Jan 1, 2028
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Variational's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Variational doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Trades
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on July 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
No 98%$0volume
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?
No 98%$0volume
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30?
Yes 100%$0volume
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
No 67%$0volume
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
No 74%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21h | 0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -31.18 | $0.64 | |
| 21h | spodkaposk | Yes / 2.2¢ | +31.18 | $0.69 | |
| 21h | 0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -1.00 | $0.02 | |
| 21h | spodkaposk | Yes / 2.2¢ | +1.00 | $0.02 | |
| 22h | Numitus1994 | Yes / 2.3¢ | +31.00 | $0.71 | |
| 22h | 0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753 | Yes / 2.1¢ | -31.00 | $0.66 | |
| 22h | bvmontes | No / 97.0¢ | -10.00 | $9.7 | |
| 22h | PPMT | No / 97.2¢ | +8.10 | $7.87 | |
| 22h | low-risk | No / 97.2¢ | +1.90 | $1.85 | |
| 22h | 0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753 | Yes / 2.6¢ | -5.01 | $0.13 | |
| 22h | low-risk | Yes / 2.8¢ | +5.01 | $0.14 | |
| 22h | Dr.PNL | No / 96.7¢ | +50.00 | $48.4 | |
| 22h | Pol7StrategyBuilder | No / 96.4¢ | -50.00 | $48.2 | |
| 22h | 0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753 | Yes / 3.2¢ | +60.00 | $2.05 | |
| 22h | Pol7StrategyBuilder | No / 96.8¢ | +50.00 | $48.4 | |
| 22h | bvmontes | No / 96.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.68 | |
| 22h | 0xd92E85FC29753859a87662FE7E9157376e516A51-1784367738753 | Yes / 2.8¢ | +8.20 | $0.25 | |
| 22h | PPMT | Yes / 2.8¢ | -8.20 | $0.23 | |
| 2d | PPMT | Yes / 2.2¢ | +8.20 | $0.18 | |
| 2d | Numitus1994 | Yes / 2.7¢ | +6.00 | $0.16 | |
| 2d | lingeringmeta | No / 97.4¢ | -5.80 | $5.65 | |
| 2d | gugu122 | Yes / 2.3¢ | -20.00 | $0.46 | |
| 3d | lingeringmeta | No / 97.4¢ | -5.20 | $5.06 | |
| 3d | PPMT | Yes / 2.4¢ | -5.20 | $0.13 | |
| 6d | 3umf | Yes / 2.3¢ | -5.26 | $0.12 |
1–25