
Volume
$255K
Txns
4,165
Traders
549
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
On June 13, Iranian leaders announced they no longer plan to engage in nuclear talks with the U.S. that were scheduled to take place in Oman on Sunday (see: https://thehill.com/policy/international/5348689-iran-nuclear-deal-talks-suspended/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that official nuclear-related negotiations between the United States and Iran resume at any point on by July 31, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". To qualify, the talks must involve official representatives of both governments and focus primarily on nuclear issues, such as uranium enrichment, sanctions relief, IAEA inspections, or the JCPOA. Talks may be direct or mediated, and may occur in person or virtually. Only the actual resumption of talks will count; announcements that talks have been scheduled to resume will not alone qualify. Unofficial backchannel communications, general diplomatic meetings not centered on nuclear issues, or one-sided public proposals will not qualify. The market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 86%$25.8Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$4.86Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 66%$25.1Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 80%$19.6Mvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
No 87%$2.74Mvolume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 81%$37.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,012.01 | $1.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | idroscimmia | No / 99.9¢ | +2,988.12 | $2.99K | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.1¢ | +6.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,200.00 | $1.2 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | 0x74a292 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | derangedCapitalist | No / 99.9¢ | -70.11 | $70 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | HMRevenueandCustoms | Yes / 0.1¢ | -1,300.00 | $1.3 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,209.99 | $1.21 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.01 | $0.09 | |
| 10mo | wubddh | No / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 10mo | daroghi | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.2¢ | +1,250.00 | $2.5 | |
| 10mo | ratue | Yes / 0.2¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 10mo | wubddh | No / 99.8¢ | +1,355.00 | $1.35K | |
| 10mo | Eastern-employee-511 | No / 99.4¢ | -2.12 | $2.11 | |
| 10mo | chatgpt.com | Yes / 0.6¢ | -2.12 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | No / 99.5¢ | +100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 10mo | Funfzig | No / 99.4¢ | +200.00 | $199 |
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