
Volume
$124K
Txns
3,303
Traders
577
Fees
$0
Ends
Mar 7, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if U.S. government forces seize an oil tanker or any other ship actively transporting oil between market creation and March 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. U.S. government forces refer to any active U.S. military (including U.S. Coast Guard), law enforcement, or intelligence personnel or contractors. Seizes refers to U.S. forces taking custody of or asserting operational control of the vessel, including boarding and taking control of the vessel, detaining the vessel indefinitely, or forcefully rerouting the vessel to a U.S.-controlled port. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 91%$27.7Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.36Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 68%$26.2Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 83%$20.2Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | ilogprediction | No / 99.9¢ | -3.78 | $3.78 | |
| 3mo | ggmggn | No / 99.9¢ | +3.78 | $3.78 | |
| 3mo | Odysseus7 | No / 99.8¢ | +24.69 | $24.6 | |
| 3mo | Chowiez | No / 99.8¢ | -24.69 | $24.6 | |
| 3mo | futuristicbaguette | No / 99.8¢ | -42.19 | $42.1 | |
| 3mo | Odysseus7 | No / 99.8¢ | +42.19 | $42.1 | |
| 3mo | asfdt22 | Yes / 0.2¢ | +200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 3mo | Odysseus7 | No / 99.8¢ | +200.00 | $200 | |
| 3mo | Odysseus7 | No / 99.9¢ | +3,735.09 | $3.73K | |
| 3mo | Perypery | Yes / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 3mo | apple-pi | No / 99.9¢ | -203.60 | $203 | |
| 3mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2,431.49 | $2.43 | |
| 3mo | h00neybal | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 3mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +26.66 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | 0xD8E64f59c3b83025D38e9949dA0dc6B80a5f2D0a-1772134289800 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -26.66 | $0.03 | |
| 3mo | 0x5d877f1279b91C55c191B4644C56B69b90C9caca-1772056316795 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -4.16 | $0 | |
| 3mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +4.16 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0xF3F7892a6714B8078B5b141f5b8481BeD92e8C35-1771536051142 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.52 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | Yakjian | No / 99.6¢ | -10.52 | $10.5 | |
| 3mo | phyphloran | No / 99.6¢ | -1.06 | $1.06 | |
| 3mo | 0xF3F7892a6714B8078B5b141f5b8481BeD92e8C35-1771536051142 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -1.06 | $0 | |
| 3mo | 0xF3F7892a6714B8078B5b141f5b8481BeD92e8C35-1771536051142 | Yes / 0.4¢ | -10.13 | $0.04 | |
| 3mo | 0x30F64422A93500b2B20b7128d8235baDf5Bc0aCA-1763746245367 | No / 99.6¢ | -10.13 | $10.1 | |
| 3mo | Nadmi | Yes / 0.1¢ | +19.99 | $0.02 | |
| 3mo | lilorelai | No / 99.9¢ | +19.99 | $20 |
1–25