
Volume
$146K
Txns
2,676
Traders
569
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government fails to make a scheduled payment on any Treasury note, bond, or bill at any point between April 8 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, or Fitch publicly classify any U.S. sovereign debt as being in default during the qualifying period this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source will be official information from the U.S. Department of the Treasury, Standard & Poor’s, Moody’s, and Fitch.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +2.77 | $0 | |
| 6mo | FrancisSP8 | No / 99.9¢ | +2.77 | $2.77 | |
| 6mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.23 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 6mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +17.77 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +374.04 | $0.37 | |
| 6mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.82 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +54.78 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.99 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.94 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.52 | $0.05 | |
| 6mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.18 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.78 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.11 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 6mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 6mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.22 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +31.24 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | tiredShip | No / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 6mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.40 | $0.03 | |
| 6mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +41.60 | $0.04 | |
| 6mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.38 | $0.06 | |
| 6mo | CANDDD | No / 99.9¢ | +22.00 | $22 | |
| 6mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +22.00 | $0.02 | |
| 6mo | mindshare | No / 99.9¢ | +47.23 | $47.2 |
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 79%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 79%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume