
Volume
$314K
Txns
6,167
Traders
706
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.76Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 100%$476Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$312Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$257Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 86%$37.4Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
No 99%$116Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | flywheelpoly | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -2.01 | $0 | |
| 5mo | 0x846834fCC643ba71705c203135B2e67Cd3ee917F-1760883161176 | No / 99.8¢ | -2.01 | $2.01 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 5mo | kirkwa | No / 99.9¢ | +1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | vinii | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | LukeDelta | Yes / 0.2¢ | -100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | WEDABESS | Yes / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -26.03 | $26 | |
| 5mo | naruto-japper | No / 99.9¢ | +26.03 | $26 | |
| 5mo | shaekli | No / 99.9¢ | +1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -1.20 | $1.2 | |
| 5mo | nihaoaa | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 5mo | fccing | No / 99.9¢ | +1.07 | $1.07 | |
| 5mo | Ordon | No / 99.9¢ | -560.09 | $560 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.08 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | rocky42013 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -763.00 | $0.76 |
1–25