
Volume
$146K
Txns
2,446
Traders
402
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States of America enters a state of civil war by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming the US is in a civil war. Note: Media reports that use the phrase "civil war" metaphorically will not count. Only a wide consensus of reporting that the US has entered a literal civil war will qualify.
Trades
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Yes 100%$863Kvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.65Mvolume
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
No 100%$762Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
No 100%$542Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
Yes 74%$212Kvolume
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026?
No 100%$215Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3mo | 0xB16B00B5 | No / 98.0¢ | -53.13 | $52.1 | |
| 3mo | 0x39c9Fd99D9DC8DC81A0492367c2De42b77063b87-1768234584781 | Yes / 2.0¢ | -53.13 | $1.06 | |
| 3mo | taerv534 | No / 92.8¢ | -1.62 | $1.5 | |
| 3mo | 4fxt82eutez0 | No / 92.8¢ | +1.62 | $1.5 | |
| 3mo | lesssgoooo | No / 91.3¢ | +100.00 | $91.3 | |
| 3mo | Ftamag23 | Yes / 8.7¢ | +114.77 | $10 | |
| 3mo | DFK | No / 91.2¢ | +14.77 | $13.5 | |
| 3mo | DFK | No / 91.2¢ | +88.92 | $81.1 | |
| 3mo | 0xdf338070a0CC6cf25B6b99A7eBf9d5d37cd33ea1-1765131839127 | Yes / 8.8¢ | +113.92 | $10 | |
| 3mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 8.7¢ | -25.00 | $2.17 | |
| 3mo | Swepadare2 | Yes / 7.3¢ | -56.00 | $4.08 | |
| 3mo | taerv534 | No / 92.8¢ | -9.26 | $8.59 | |
| 3mo | lesssgoooo | No / 92.7¢ | -21.74 | $20.2 | |
| 3mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 7.3¢ | +25.00 | $1.82 | |
| 3mo | peronbatata | Yes / 8.8¢ | +11.36 | $1 | |
| 3mo | DFK | No / 91.2¢ | +11.36 | $10.4 | |
| 3mo | Ilostmywife | No / 92.7¢ | +5.39 | $5 | |
| 3mo | lesssgoooo | No / 92.7¢ | -5.39 | $5 | |
| 3mo | lesssgoooo | No / 92.7¢ | -17.39 | $16.1 | |
| 3mo | not-friend-time | Yes / 7.3¢ | -17.39 | $1.27 | |
| 3mo | Hbz | No / 92.0¢ | +27.80 | $25.6 | |
| 3mo | TraderProMax | Yes / 7.8¢ | -25.33 | $1.98 | |
| 3mo | 0x39c9Fd99D9DC8DC81A0492367c2De42b77063b87-1768234584781 | Yes / 7.9¢ | +53.13 | $4.2 | |
| 3mo | PascalA | No / 92.6¢ | -30.00 | $27.8 | |
| 3mo | Hbz | No / 92.6¢ | +30.00 | $27.8 |
1–25