
Volume
$633K
Txns
10,806
Traders
1,763
Fees
$0
Ends
Aug 12, 2025
On May 12, 2025, the United States and China announced a 90-day mutual reduction in tariffs as part of a temporary trade de-escalation agreement. This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between May 13, and August 12, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. Agreements to extend the 90 day tariff reduction announced on May 12, will qualify. Informal and unilateral announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced. Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries will qualify for resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.44Bvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 85%$27.4Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.31Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 62%$26Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | VvVv | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 10mo | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,500.00 | $2.5K | |
| 10mo | 0xbc7AE217102655aAa14FE47613b53b8e340fA40B-1751325505590 | No / 0.2¢ | +2,500.00 | $5 | |
| 10mo | Tomdnc | Yes / 99.9¢ | -97.42 | $97.3 | |
| 10mo | qwertzu | No / 0.1¢ | -97.42 | $0.1 | |
| 10mo | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 10mo | Hashire | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +500.00 | $499 | |
| 10mo | MGS66 | No / 0.2¢ | +500.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | Tomdnc | Yes / 99.9¢ | +97.42 | $97.3 | |
| 10mo | Adhd | Yes / 99.9¢ | -97.42 | $97.3 | |
| 10mo | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 10mo | 0xcB5f207Fb1653B7Ff4D381ADB4E9dfDc5c504F34-1730638202448 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -5.00 | $4.99 | |
| 10mo | pusseh | Yes / 99.7¢ | +12.73 | $12.7 | |
| 10mo | doublejoker | Yes / 99.7¢ | -22.73 | $22.7 | |
| 10mo | MisTKy3 | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 10mo | pusseh | Yes / 99.7¢ | +4.98 | $4.97 | |
| 10mo | guiltytrades | Yes / 99.7¢ | -4.98 | $4.97 | |
| 10mo | pusseh | Yes / 99.7¢ | +366.67 | $366 | |
| 10mo | Amongyoda | No / 0.3¢ | +366.67 | $1.1 | |
| 10mo | neerg | Yes / 99.6¢ | +250.00 | $249 | |
| 10mo | SucculentChineseMeal | No / 0.4¢ | +250.00 | $1 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +12.00 | $0.01 | |
| 10mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +104.00 | $0.1 |
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