
Volume
$23K
Txns
841
Traders
229
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 4, 2024
This is a market on the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for September 2024. The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in the Table A-15 for the month in question. This market will resolve to “Yes”, if the seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate in the United States for September 2024 is more than 4.2%, otherwise it will resolve to “No”. The next data release is scheduled for October 4, 2024, 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution. Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market (e.g. if unemployment is 4.3%, this market will resolve to “Yes”, if it is 4.2%, this market will resolve to “No”).
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meetin…
Yes 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeti…
No 100%$0volume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meet…
No 100%$0volume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 m…
No 62%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | apxl | No / 99.9¢ | -23.80 | $23.8 | |
| 1y | VvVv | No / 99.9¢ | +23.80 | $23.8 | |
| 1y | N00b | No / 99.2¢ | -4.00 | $3.97 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | No / 99.2¢ | +4.00 | $3.97 | |
| 1y | Todd66 | No / 99.9¢ | +25.03 | $25 | |
| 1y | notebookled | Yes / 0.1¢ | +16.11 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | LangdonBonaparte | No / 99.9¢ | -8.92 | $8.91 | |
| 1y | funnyday | Yes / 1.0¢ | -0.33 | $0 | |
| 1y | seclayer | No / 99.0¢ | -0.33 | $0.33 | |
| 1y | funnyday | Yes / 1.0¢ | -3.44 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Longshotbias | No / 99.0¢ | -3.44 | $3.41 | |
| 1y | flowerdance | Yes / 1.0¢ | +200.00 | $2 | |
| 1y | T123 | No / 99.0¢ | +200.00 | $198 | |
| 1y | nicoco89 | No / 46.0¢ | -4.34 | $2 | |
| 1y | munkiballz1 | Yes / 54.0¢ | -4.34 | $2.34 | |
| 1y | XOXO | Yes / 68.0¢ | -14.71 | $10 | |
| 1y | Meatbot | Yes / 68.0¢ | +14.71 | $10 | |
| 1y | nicoco89 | No / 31.0¢ | +4.35 | $1.35 | |
| 1y | munkiballz1 | Yes / 69.0¢ | +4.35 | $3 | |
| 1y | munkiballz1 | No / 31.0¢ | -6.77 | $2.1 | |
| 1y | nicoco89 | No / 31.0¢ | +6.77 | $2.1 | |
| 1y | munkiballz1 | Yes / 42.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.1 | |
| 1y | nicoco89 | No / 58.0¢ | -5.00 | $2.9 | |
| 1y | bundo-991 | Yes / 41.0¢ | +6.78 | $2.78 | |
| 1y | munkiballz1 | No / 59.0¢ | +6.78 | $4 |
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