
Volume
$262K
Txns
3,395
Traders
550
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iran soil between June 19, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
Trades
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.05Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.58Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 95%$18.5Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.11Mvolume
Israel closes its airspace by June 9?
No 100%$1.51Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 83%$22.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11mo | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +68.85 | $68.8 | |
| 11mo | Bascoumini | No / 99.9¢ | -68.85 | $68.8 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4.59 | $4.59 | |
| 11mo | robertmoreno | No / 99.9¢ | +4.59 | $4.59 | |
| 11mo | 0x85588 | No / 99.9¢ | +60.66 | $60.6 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -60.66 | $60.6 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4.44 | $4.44 | |
| 11mo | Shin-Ei | No / 99.9¢ | +4.44 | $4.44 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | crowman | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | letterofluck | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | 0xe628...f1ee6f | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | painstart | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | gooddocrine | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | oabrick | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | iamaniron | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | 0x746d...50be75 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 11mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 |
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