
Volume
$262K
Txns
3,395
Traders
550
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Kingdom initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iran soil between June 19, and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by UK military forces that impact Iran ground territory. Missiles or drones which are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether they land on Iran territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly along the line of control, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or sanctions, will not qualify.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | No / 99.9¢ | +68.85 | $68.8 | |
| 1y | Bascoumini | No / 99.9¢ | -68.85 | $68.8 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4.59 | $4.59 | |
| 1y | robertmoreno | No / 99.9¢ | +4.59 | $4.59 | |
| 1y | 0x85588 | No / 99.9¢ | +60.66 | $60.6 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -60.66 | $60.6 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -4.44 | $4.44 | |
| 1y | Shin-Ei | No / 99.9¢ | +4.44 | $4.44 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | crowman | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | letterofluck | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0xe628...f1ee6f | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | painstart | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | gooddocrine | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | oabrick | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | iamaniron | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | 0x746d...50be75 | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 |
1–25
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?
Yes 100%$0volume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
No 100%$0volume
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Yes 100%$0volume
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
No 57%$0volume
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
No 76%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume