
Volume
$35K
Txns
320
Traders
88
Fees
$0
Ends
Jul 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over trade and/or tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and another country, or a multi-country entity such as the European Union, between June 24 and July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only deals which are officially announced by both parties will qualify. Informal announcements which do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count. If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and/or the listed country/entity, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
Trades
1–25
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$20Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 85%$19Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.2Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.6Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$10.7Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
No 99%$6.95Mvolume