
Volume
$307K
Txns
1,630
Traders
259
Fees
$0
Ends
May 1, 2025
On February 3, President Donald Trump "said he is pausing for one month his new 25% tariffs on goods imported from Mexico" (see: https://www.cnbc.com/2025/02/03/trump-tariffs-mexico-canada-china-sheinbaum-responds.html) This market will resolve to “Yes” if a general tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico goes into effect for any amount of time between February 3, and May 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the tariffs must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. A general tariff that includes item specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting Mexico will qualify. For example, a new global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | NELF | Yes / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 1y | rpo | Yes / 99.9¢ | +134.92 | $135 | |
| 1y | jaselby | Yes / 99.9¢ | -144.92 | $145 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | No / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 1y | NELF | Yes / 99.9¢ | +211.00 | $211 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | No / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | -200.00 | $0.4 | |
| 1y | Glev | Yes / 99.8¢ | -200.00 | $200 | |
| 1y | CherryB16 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -71.42 | $71.3 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | -71.42 | $0.14 | |
| 1y | Prince690 | Yes / 99.8¢ | -50.00 | $49.9 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | -50.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gesst | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | gesst | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | notebookled | No / 0.1¢ | -5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +435.25 | $0.44 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +23.50 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | Slowroasted | Yes / 99.9¢ | +595.75 | $595 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +34.50 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +8.50 | $0.01 | |
| 1y | Evador | No / 0.1¢ | +94.00 | $0.09 | |
| 1y | MotherTheresa | No / 0.1¢ | +222.00 | $0.22 |
1–25
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 98%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?
Yes 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
No 100%$0volume
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?
No 100%$0volume