Volume
$563K
Txns
4,573
Traders
590
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a tariff on imports of semiconductors into the United States by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only tariffs specifically targeting semiconductors will qualify. For example, a general tariff (tariffs on all imports into the U.S.) or country-specific tariff (tariffs on all imports from China) will not count toward this market's resolution. Tariffs on semiconductors from a specific country will qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Trades
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?
No 78%$0volume
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Indonesia" before 2027?
No 82%$0volume
Copper cable hit with Sec. 232 tariffs by December 31, 2026?
No 84%$0volume
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027?
No 83%$0volume
Will the 2026 trade deficit be between 1T and 1.1T?
No 94%$0volume
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?
No 89%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | ZhangMuZhi- | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | thanglong | No / 99.9¢ | -5.99 | $5.98 | |
| 7mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.98 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | 0xef2a...99bd7e | Yes / 0.1¢ | +180.00 | $0.18 | |
| 7mo | 0x161f...28b075 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +96.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.67 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | blunderbot | No / 99.9¢ | -102.98 | $103 | |
| 7mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.58 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.68 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.10 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.42 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +37.20 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.39 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +49.34 | $0.05 | |
| 7mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +55.79 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +38.18 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | winner365 | No / 99.9¢ | -15.70 | $15.7 | |
| 7mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +58.00 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | FEDchair | No / 99.9¢ | +1,771.19 | $1.77K | |
| 7mo | ObsidianPM | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.74 | $0.04 | |
| 7mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +131.00 | $0.13 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +343.00 | $0.34 |
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