
Volume
$288K
Txns
2,431
Traders
412
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Donald Trump announces that he is running for a third term as US President by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Trump must definitively state his intent to run (e.g., "I am running for a third term" or equivalent unambiguous language); vague comments, speculative or contingent remarks or jokes will not suffice. Past statements such his March 30 NBC phone interview where he stated "There are methods which you could do it, as you know... A lot of people want me to do it." or his November 13, 2024, where he stated "I suspect I won’t be running again unless you say, ‘He’s so good we’ve got to figure something else out.’" would NOT qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Donald Trump (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trades
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 76%$915Mvolume
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 85%$2.43Bvolume
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
No 100%$7.06Mvolume
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026?
No 99%$4.59Mvolume
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
No 95%$27Mvolume
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
No 66%$651Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5mo | 0x0a23...3aaa25 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 5mo | Blaorra | Yes / 0.1¢ | +35.64 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Cronnozzz | Yes / 0.1¢ | +45.34 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | 0xe9b4...42f03a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +90.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes / 0.1¢ | +10.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Snpe | Yes / 0.1¢ | +44.43 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Pestle | Yes / 0.1¢ | +30.85 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x4018...7dd14a | Yes / 0.1¢ | +88.00 | $0.09 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Owwwnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.79 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | Nexuus | Yes / 0.1¢ | +36.21 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Avvnnnn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +46.27 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Shipoo | Yes / 0.1¢ | +43.00 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Polyfirefly | Yes / 0.1¢ | +39.68 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xe8d0E6f73B49Ef07078562dB4b12974EEf365542-1722338495689 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Rlso | Yes / 0.1¢ | +42.53 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Noooooooop | No / 99.9¢ | +1,330.81 | $1.33K | |
| 5mo | triklozoid | Yes / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 5mo | Oddinn | Yes / 0.1¢ | +32.53 | $0.03 | |
| 5mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | Yes / 0.1¢ | +439.00 | $0.44 | |
| 5mo | Kanp | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.71 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | Ignisss | Yes / 0.1¢ | +51.84 | $0.05 | |
| 5mo | Yukaii | Yes / 0.1¢ | +40.70 | $0.04 | |
| 5mo | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +75.00 | $0.07 |
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