
Volume
$331K
Txns
1,444
Traders
284
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US federal income tax is eliminated between January 21 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "abolishing the federal income tax" means the elimination of federal income tax obligations for individuals in the US, not merely reductions, suspensions, or alterations to tax rates, brackets, or enforcement policies. The market will not consider executive orders, temporary measures, or proposals that do not become law. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government, including announcements from Donald Trump and the IRS, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Trades
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Yes 99%$22.7Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$11.7Mvolume
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$6.92Mvolume
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Yes 93%$1.65Mvolume
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
No 100%$8.72Mvolume
Fed rate hike in 2026?
No 58%$1.86Mvolume