
Volume
$24K
Txns
307
Traders
83
Fees
$0
Ends
Dec 31, 2025
On July 2, it was reported that a group of tech billionaires led by Anduril co-founder Palmer Luckey are launching a new crypto-focused U.S. bank (see: https://www.reuters.com/business/tech-billionaires-led-by-palmer-luckey-launch-new-bank-rival-svb-ft-reports-2025-07-02/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if, a national bank charter (conditional or unconditional) is granted by the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) or a relevant state banking authority (e.g. Texas Department of Banking, New York State Department of Financial Services, etc) to a legal entity publicly recognized as the Erebor bank project backed by Palmer Luckey, by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A name other than “Erebor” or a change in Palmer Luckey’s involvement will still qualify, as long as credible sources clearly identify the entity as the same project originally known as the Erebor initiative. The resolution source will be official announcements from a relevant banking authority and Erebor, as well as a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Yes 100%$2.99Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
No 100%$2.05Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?
Yes 100%$2.24Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
No 100%$1.94Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T
No 100%$2.95Mvolume
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.6T?
No 100%$1.4Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +444.06 | $444 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +444.06 | $0.44 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +55.94 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | 7... | No / 0.2¢ | +9.06 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | 0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256 | No / 0.1¢ | +14.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | 0x35c0...ab81d6 | No / 0.1¢ | +16.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | ShackCHills | No / 0.1¢ | +5.00 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | MAGA.ONE | Yes / 99.9¢ | +1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 7mo | 7... | No / 0.2¢ | +100.00 | $0.2 | |
| 7mo | goldkeeper | Yes / 99.8¢ | +100.00 | $99.8 | |
| 7mo | 0x46E29dcb9cD03B9f39bf5Bf7759b07ea280EF | Yes / 99.7¢ | +33.40 | $33.3 | |
| 7mo | 7... | No / 0.3¢ | +33.40 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | 7... | No / 0.2¢ | +10.00 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | lisisi | Yes / 99.8¢ | +10.00 | $9.98 | |
| 7mo | planktonXD | No / 0.1¢ | +108.00 | $0.11 |
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