
Volume
$298K
Txns
3,306
Traders
408
Fees
$0
Ends
Jun 30, 2025
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Tesla publicly releases an unsupervised Full Self-Driving capability that satisfies all of the following criteria by June 30, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” 1. Tesla (or Elon Musk) must label the feature “Full Self-Driving” or use an equivalent name indicating no requirement for human intervention. 2. The system must operate on public roads without a human driver present or required to oversee its performance. In practice, this means either: - The vehicle runs with no one in the driver’s seat, or - The vehicle operates in a mode where no occupant is expected to monitor or intervene. 3. Tesla or any Tesla-affiliated entity must make the unsupervised Full Self-Driving capability broadly accessible either through a robo-taxi or ride-hailing service open to the public, or inclusion as a standard or optional feature on newly sold Tesla vehicles, or a software update that enables unsupervised operation in current vehicles. Any mode that requires a licensed driver to be seated in the vehicle, or for a human (on-site or remote) to continuously supervise the driving performance or remain ready to intervene at any moment, will not qualify. However, remote monitoring that does not involve continuous supervision or expectation of real-time intervention—for example, oversight limited to emergency response—will not disqualify the service. This market’s resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 87%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?
Yes 54%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?
No 60%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on l…
Yes 54%$0volume
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
No 92%$0volume
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?
No 100%$0volume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | bdfgssdfgsdf | No / 99.9¢ | -100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | bdfgssdfgsdf | No / 99.9¢ | -50.00 | $50 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | 48MGX75VLQ | No / 99.9¢ | -5.00 | $5 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -21.99 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.9¢ | -21.99 | $22 | |
| 1y | ineedmoreiq | No / 99.3¢ | +22.00 | $21.8 | |
| 1y | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.8¢ | -12.35 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | BadScientist94 | No / 99.3¢ | -34.35 | $34.1 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +100.00 | $99.9 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | rwo | No / 99.9¢ | +203.00 | $203 | |
| 1y | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +103.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | +100.00 | $0.1 | |
| 1y | AnDD-704 | No / 99.4¢ | -4.17 | $4.14 | |
| 1y | Ardtysrt01 | Yes / 0.6¢ | -4.17 | $0.03 | |
| 1y | bdfgssdfgsdf | No / 99.9¢ | -5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | wassa-wassa-wassa-up-bitconnect | No / 99.9¢ | +5.01 | $5 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -76.00 | $0.08 | |
| 1y | bdfgssdfgsdf | No / 99.9¢ | -76.00 | $75.9 | |
| 1y | 0xf8b7...2114de | Yes / 0.1¢ | +24.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | qwertzu | Yes / 0.1¢ | -24.00 | $0.02 | |
| 1y | doubleone | No / 99.9¢ | -750.00 | $749 |
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