
Volume
$2K
Txns
215
Traders
36
Fees
$18
Liquidity
$667
Ends
May 12, 2026
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between May 5, 12:00 PM ET and May 12, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Trades
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
No 81%$9.88Mvolume
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Yes 54%$1.09Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
No 100%$3.38Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
No 96%$11.2Mvolume
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
No 75%$22.5Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
No 81%$18.6Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45m | OstapP | No / 45.0¢ | +11.11 | $5 | |
| 45m | ScissorsDefense | No / 43.8¢ | -11.11 | $4.86 | |
| 52m | mightycash | Yes / 55.0¢ | +26.53 | $14.9 | |
| 52m | OstapP | No / 45.0¢ | +26.53 | $11.9 | |
| 1h | mightycash | Yes / 54.0¢ | +26.09 | $14.4 | |
| 1h | rocky42004 | No / 46.0¢ | +26.09 | $12 | |
| 2h | rocky42004 | No / 46.0¢ | +25.97 | $11.9 | |
| 2h | mightycash | Yes / 54.0¢ | +25.97 | $14.3 | |
| 2h | rocky42004 | No / 47.0¢ | +7.22 | $3.39 | |
| 2h | 0x9B43331E0C1CD8E9330eE516264fd8235E4133CE-1768317980638 | No / 45.8¢ | -7.22 | $3.3 | |
| 2h | Biver52 | Yes / 54.0¢ | -24.29 | $13.1 | |
| 2h | mightycash | Yes / 54.0¢ | +25.86 | $14.3 | |
| 2h | Lavincey | No / 46.0¢ | +1.57 | $0.72 | |
| 2h | ScissorsDefense | No / 63.0¢ | +11.11 | $7 | |
| 2h | mightycash | Yes / 37.0¢ | +11.11 | $4.24 | |
| 2h | lankeleads | No / 73.0¢ | +18.57 | $13.6 | |
| 2h | mightycash | Yes / 27.0¢ | +18.57 | $5.2 | |
| 3h | 0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +9.02 | $2.52 | |
| 3h | lankeleads | No / 73.0¢ | +9.02 | $6.58 | |
| 3h | 0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847 | Yes / 27.0¢ | +9.02 | $2.52 | |
| 3h | lankeleads | No / 73.0¢ | +9.02 | $6.58 | |
| 3h | mightycash | Yes / 27.0¢ | +25.52 | $7.14 | |
| 3h | lankeleads | No / 73.0¢ | +25.52 | $18.6 | |
| 3h | lankeleads | No / 73.0¢ | +25.41 | $18.5 | |
| 3h | mightycash | Yes / 27.0¢ | +25.41 | $7.11 |
1–25