Successful Houthi attack on shipping by October 15?
ResolvedVolume
$16K
Txns
612
Traders
173
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 15, 2025
Volume
$16K
Txns
612
Traders
173
Fees
$0
Ends
Oct 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial or military ship by October 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship which are shot down or don't hit a ship will not be considered for this market. This includes, but is not limited to drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person such as seizing a ship by force. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
No 92%$27.5Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Yes 100%$15.7Mvolume
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?
Yes 100%$5.34Mvolume
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
No 70%$26.1Mvolume
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Yes 100%$7.12Mvolume
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
No 85%$20.1Mvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | -111.00 | $111 | |
| 7mo | Totenkopf | No / 99.9¢ | +111.00 | $111 | |
| 7mo | esac | No / 99.9¢ | +342.33 | $342 | |
| 7mo | gnagna | No / 99.9¢ | -240.33 | $240 | |
| 7mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +102.00 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | aseriousman | No / 99.8¢ | -51.17 | $51.1 | |
| 7mo | esac | Yes / 0.2¢ | -51.17 | $0.1 | |
| 7mo | mkhakpaki | No / 99.8¢ | -3.95 | $3.94 | |
| 7mo | esac | Yes / 0.2¢ | -3.95 | $0.01 | |
| 7mo | daniadri | No / 99.9¢ | +1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | gnagna | No / 99.9¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 7mo | gnagna | No / 99.9¢ | -10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | LordProtector | No / 99.9¢ | +10.00 | $9.99 | |
| 7mo | Eee111 | Yes / 0.1¢ | -16.66 | $0.02 | |
| 7mo | gnagna | No / 99.9¢ | -16.66 | $16.6 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -100.00 | $0.5 | |
| 7mo | closedmind | No / 99.5¢ | -100.00 | $99.5 | |
| 7mo | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Yes / 0.1¢ | -175.07 | $0.18 | |
| 7mo | esac | Yes / 0.1¢ | +111.00 | $0.11 | |
| 7mo | pootytherewardfarmer | Yes / 0.1¢ | +64.07 | $0.06 | |
| 7mo | aaaaaffff | No / 99.6¢ | -206.07 | $205 | |
| 7mo | 0x6993...08c79a | Yes / 0.5¢ | -114.16 | $0.57 | |
| 7mo | esac | Yes / 0.2¢ | -91.91 | $0.18 | |
| 8mo | GoodOldBogan | No / 99.8¢ | -1.00 | $1 | |
| 8mo | esac | Yes / 0.2¢ | -1.00 | $0 |
1–25