
Volume
$155K
Txns
1,273
Traders
314
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test flight successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch - if the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh StarShip launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred - if the seventh launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
Trades
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
No 90%$39.2Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
No 99%$4.91Mvolume
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
No 96%$1.43Mvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Yes 70%$418Kvolume
Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?
No 100%$212Kvolume
Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day?
No 100%$115Kvolume
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.2¢ | +416.11 | $1 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | -329.81 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | Yes / 99.2¢ | +36.30 | $36 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | iamhungry | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,230.00 | $1.23K | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -1,230.00 | $1.23 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -3.77 | $0 | |
| 1y | Beckumfighter | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.77 | $3.77 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | lranon | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,501.40 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | Elfandi | Yes / 99.8¢ | -2,501.40 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +329.81 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,168.49 | $4.16K | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,838.68 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.7¢ | +245.52 | $245 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +460.03 | $460 | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.8¢ | +3,838.68 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | Mbug1717 | No / 0.3¢ | +5,224.90 | $15 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.1¢ | +680.67 | $675 | |
| 1y | sunny9154497 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -108.31 | $108 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +108.31 | $108 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +165.16 | $165 |
1–25