
Volume
$155K
Txns
1,273
Traders
314
Fees
$0
Ends
Jan 15, 2025
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the seventh Starship-SuperHeavy test flight successfully reaches an altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. This market pertains to the seventh Starship launch - if the rocket lifts off the pad, it will be considered the seventh StarShip launch, and this market will resolve based on it. If the rocket does not lift off the pad, it will not be considered the seventh launch, and this market will stay open until the seventh launch has occurred - if the seventh launch has not occurred by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". The outcome will be corroborated by examining SpaceX’s official video feed of the launch (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary.
Trades
| Age | Trader | Outcome | Shares | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -1,000.00 | $1 | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,000.00 | $999 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.2¢ | +416.11 | $1 | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | -329.81 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | pirateshere | Yes / 99.2¢ | +36.30 | $36 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | iamhungry | Yes / 99.9¢ | -1,230.00 | $1.23K | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -1,230.00 | $1.23 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -3.77 | $0 | |
| 1y | Beckumfighter | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3.77 | $3.77 | |
| 1y | nulleth | No / 0.1¢ | -50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | FoldingNuts272 | No / 0.1¢ | +50.00 | $0.05 | |
| 1y | futuremultimillionaire | Yes / 99.8¢ | +2,501.40 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | Elfandi | Yes / 99.8¢ | -2,501.40 | $2.5K | |
| 1y | ujaKanga | No / 0.2¢ | +329.81 | $0.66 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.9¢ | +4,168.49 | $4.16K | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.9¢ | -3,838.68 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | Liquidifier | Yes / 99.7¢ | +245.52 | $245 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +460.03 | $460 | |
| 1y | ehhhemmm | Yes / 99.8¢ | +3,838.68 | $3.83K | |
| 1y | Mbug1717 | No / 0.3¢ | +5,224.90 | $15 | |
| 1y | AgricultureSecretary | Yes / 99.1¢ | +680.67 | $675 | |
| 1y | sunny9154497 | Yes / 99.9¢ | -108.31 | $108 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +108.31 | $108 | |
| 1y | 0x1C7Ea49c1B1badD8cdDf6fBD3e2cbCaf7fe3 | Yes / 99.9¢ | +165.16 | $165 |
1–25
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Yes 85%$0volume
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.5T at market close on l…
Yes 58%$0volume
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
No 86%$0volume
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
No 96%$0volume
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Yes 64%$0volume
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
No 95%$0volume